While Bitcoin sits near $70,000 and many investors are questioning whether they missed the rally, macro investor Lawrence Lepard is making a bullish case: the biggest move is still ahead, and the window to buy cheap is closing fast.
Buy the Dip or Regret It
Lepard’s message to anyone sitting on the sidelines is clear. “Think of it the way you think of food. Filet mignon is on sale, you go buy it,” he said. “If you can buy Bitcoin at $70,000, that is great.” For long-term investors, the current price is not a warning sign. It is an opportunity.
He manages money on a multi-year timeframe and says he has high confidence that Bitcoin reaches $200,000, driven not by speculation but by the structural collapse of the dollar’s purchasing power.
The Fed Is Printing Again
The trigger for Lepard’s thesis is already in motion. The Federal Reserve has quietly returned to money printing, currently running at $40 billion per month, what analyst Lyn Alden has called the “gradual print.” While it is not the trillions printed during COVID, Lepard believes it is the beginning of a much larger wave.
“The next print will be bigger than the last one,” he warned. With the US deficit running at over $2 trillion annually and a war adding hundreds of billions more, he sees no path forward that does not involve significantly more money creation.
Dollar Losing Reserve Status
Lepard draws a direct parallel to Britain’s Suez moment, the point at which the pound lost its global dominance. He believes the US dollar is experiencing the same slow-motion collapse, accelerated by geopolitical conflict and fiscal irresponsibility.
“If you are saving money, you have to save in things the government cannot print,” he said plainly.
Bitcoin Over Gold
While Lepard is bullish on both Bitcoin and gold, he sees Bitcoin as the better buy at current levels, with greater upside potential as institutional adoption accelerates and available supply continues to shrink through ETF lockups and long-term holding.
His timeline for the broader system to face a breaking point: somewhere in the next 12 to 18 months. The avalanche, he says, is already built. Nobody knows which snowflake triggers it.
