Bitcoin has staged a notable rebound after sweeping liquidity beneath the June lows, but the recovery is now approaching a critical resistance cluster. While momentum has improved in the short term, the broader structure remains bearish until $BTC reclaims several major resistance levels overhead.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
The daily timeframe shows Bitcoin continuing to trade below its key moving averages, with both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages sloping lower and acting as dynamic resistance. The market remains structurally bearish after losing the $72K-$74K support zone in June, which has now flipped into a major supply area.
However, the recent price action is becoming more constructive. $BTC successfully defended the $58K-$61K support region and produced a sharp bounce from the lower boundary of the broader descending structure.
More importantly, the daily RSI has formed a bullish divergence, with momentum making higher lows while the price registered comparable or lower lows around the June bottom. This divergence often appears during exhaustion phases and suggests selling pressure has been weakening despite the downtrend.
The immediate challenge lies around $65K-$67K, where a major resistance zone intersects with the descending upper trendline. A successful breakout above this area would likely trigger a larger recovery toward the former breakdown region near $72K-$74K. Conversely, rejection from the current resistance cluster would reinforce the prevailing bearish structure and increase the probability of another move toward the $60K support area.
$BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour chart highlights a developing falling wedge structure. Bitcoin recently rebounded from the lower boundary near $58K and has advanced steadily toward the upper trendline, which currently converges with the $63K-$64K area.
The recovery has already reclaimed the $60K-$61K support zone, turning it back into a short-term demand area. Price is now testing the upper boundary of the wedge while approaching the lower edge of the $64K-$66.5K supply zone.
A breakout above the descending trendline could accelerate bullish momentum and open the path toward the higher resistance region around $65K-$67K. Such a move would also confirm a short-term shift in market structure after weeks of lower highs.
If the breakout fails, Bitcoin may continue consolidating inside the wedge before attempting another push higher. The $60K-$61K region remains the most important near-term support, while a breakdown below it would place the recent recovery at risk.
Sentiment Analysis
The Spot Average Order Size metric provides insight into the behavior of larger market participants. Recent data shows that whale-sized transactions continue to dominate activity despite Bitcoin trading near local lows.
The latest readings indicate that large orders remain active in the market while prices hover around the $60K-$63K region. Although the metric alone cannot determine directional intent, the persistence of larger transaction sizes during a prolonged decline suggests institutional and high-net-worth participants remain engaged rather than stepping away from the market.
Combined with the bullish RSI divergence on the daily chart and Bitcoin’s defense of the $58K-$61K support zone, the data suggests accumulation interest may be emerging around current levels. Nevertheless, confirmation still requires a technical breakout above the descending trendline and the $65K-$67K resistance cluster.
Until that occurs, Bitcoin remains in a broader corrective structure, with the current recovery appearing more like an attempt to build a base rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
