Ethereum has struggled to register meaningful upward movement in recent days despite strong investor activity.
The altcoin king’s price is being pulled by two opposing forces: heavy accumulation from retail and institutional players, and continued selling pressure from long-term holders. This clash has kept ETH rangebound.
Ethereum Exchange Supply Falls
Ethereum’s supply on exchanges has steadily declined for months, now sitting at a nine-year low. This signals investors are withdrawing tokens from centralized platforms, a move often linked to long-term accumulation strategies rather than short-term speculation.
In just the past month, more than 2.7 million ETH, valued at over $11.3 billion, has been accumulated by investors. This buying spree highlights strong conviction in Ethereum’s long-term potential, even as the short-term price action remains uncertain.
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Ethereum Exchange Supply. Source: Glassnode
Despite this bullish accumulation, Ethereum’s Liveliness metric has been trending upward. Liveliness measures the behavior of long-term holders (LTHs), and an increase typically suggests these investors are selling rather than accumulating.
This selling from LTHs counters the bullish pressure from fresh inflows. As a result, Ethereum is caught between two opposing market forces. The standoff is limiting strong price swings, leaving ETH vulnerable to sideways trading until one side gains dominance.
Ethereum Liveliness. Source: Glassnode
ETH Price Is Vulnerable To Correction
Ethereum’s price is currently at $4,176, holding just above the critical $4,074 support zone. The immediate resistance lies at $4,222, which ETH must break to attempt further recovery.
Given the conflicting signals, ETH is likely to remain consolidated within a macro range between $4,000 and $4,500. This has been the case for several weeks as bullish and bearish pressures balance out.
ETH Price Analysis. Source: TradingView
However, if long-term holder selling continues to weigh heavily, Ethereum’s price could fall further. A breakdown below $4,027 support would leave ETH vulnerable to a decline toward $3,910, invalidating the bullish thesis.
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