Ethereum trades at $2,250 on April 30, entering May with a completed daily CRT liquidity sweep and the most bullish seasonal month on the $ETH calendar ahead, even as spot ETF outflows and a 30-year Treasury yield sitting at 5% keep the macro picture complicated.
$ETH Daily Chart: CRT Sweep Confirmed, Four Timeframes In Discount
The daily CRT range runs from the low at $2,230 to the high at $2,370. Price swept below the range low before recovering back inside, confirming the liquidity sweep. The PDR Pro table shows monthly, weekly, daily, and 4-hour all in discount, with only the 1-hour in premium. Four of five timeframes in discount means $ETH is sitting in a buy zone relative to all higher timeframe ranges.
Price at $2,250 is still below the 0.5 equilibrium at $2,300, inside the discount half of the range. The CRT target sequence runs from the equilibrium at $2,300 to the range high at $2,370, with the PDR Pro value level at $2,466 as the broader May target if the range high clears.
Key CRT levels for May:
- CRT range low: $2,230
- Current price: $2,250
- CRT equilibrium: $2,300
- CRT range high: $2,370
- PDR Pro value level: $2,466
May Is $ETH’s Strongest Month. Here Is What The Data Shows.
May averages 34.7% across all years with a median of 18.4%, the strongest average of any month on the calendar. May 2025 delivered 41.1%, May 2024 delivered 24.7%, May 2019 delivered 63.1%, and May 2017 delivered 190.8%. The exceptions are May 2022 at -29.2% and May 2018 at -13.8%, both during active bear market deleveraging cycles.
Related: Bitcoin Price Prediction May 2026: Can BTC Break The 200-Day EMA In May?
$ETH enters May 2026 from two consecutive green months, March at 7.07% and April at 6.95%, a quiet base-building pattern that preceded strong May moves in prior cycles. The macro risk is real though. May 2022’s -29.2% came with the Fed aggressively hiking rates and yields rising sharply, conditions that closely resemble the current setup with the 30-year at 5% and three Fed officials pushing back on easing. Seasonality is a tailwind, not a guarantee.
Ethereum May 2026 Price Prediction Table
ETF Outflows Are The Headwind To Watch In May
Ethereum spot ETFs posted $87.73M in outflows on April 29, the third consecutive day of net outflows, with the weekly total at $160M. BlackRock’s ETHA led at $37.06M and Fidelity’s FETH at $48.37M on the day.
Cumulative inflows remain positive at $11.94B with total net assets at $13.10B, but the reversal from the prior week’s $155M inflow is driven by the same macro shift hitting Bitcoin ETFs, not $ETH-specific sentiment.
$ETH Derivatives: Longs Absorbing Heavy Pain As Volume Spikes
Futures volume jumped 44.36% to $56.12B while OI dropped 1.59% to $31.13B, heavy churn with position closures dominating. Options volume rose 15.65% to $974.08M with options OI up 2.22% to $6.43B, hedged positioning rather than directional bets.
The long/short ratio sits at 0.9693. Top traders on Binance and OKX both lean long above 2.07. Longs absorbed $122.90M in 24h liquidations against $21.06M for shorts, buyers taking nearly six times more pain. OI at $31.04B sits well below the late 2025 peak near $70B, leaving room for leverage to rebuild as May seasonality develops.
$ETH May 2026 Outlook
- Upside: $ETH holds the CRT range low at $2,230 and clears the equilibrium at $2,300, targeting $2,370 first. A close above the range high opens $2,466 and then the 200-day EMA at $2,618 through mid and late May. A 34.7% average May return from current price puts $ETH near $3,030 by month-end.
- Downside: The CRT range low at $2,230 breaks and ETF outflows extend into the second week of May, sending price toward $2,000. May 2022’s -29.2% is the closest historical analog to the current macro setup. Below $2,000, the February low near $1,800 becomes the deeper support.
