Bitcoin ($BTC) headed lower around Tuesday’s Wall Street open as investors’ appetite for gold sent the precious metal to nine-week highs.
Key points:
- Bitcoin takes a backseat as gold steals the limelight climbing to $4,435 per ounce.
- Analysis eyes the Bitcoin-gold positive correlation still in place.
- Key resistance near $66,000 keeps $BTC price action in check ahead of the US CPI inflation print.
Retail investors pile into gold ETFs
Data from TradingView showed $BTC/USD abandoning a low-timeframe rebound to drop back below $64,000.
$BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
The pair finished down 1.5% on Monday thanks to concerns over the US-Iran war and the latest impasse over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz oil route. US stocks tracked sideways amid a fresh 5% surge in oil prices.
As uncertainty grew, new data showed increasing demand for safe haven gold, which hit $4,435 per ounce on Tuesday, its highest level since June 5. Chinese appetites for the precious metal were already on the radar in August.
XAU/USD one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Trading resource The Kobeissi Letter highlighted particular interest from the retail sector — currently a key missing component in crypto markets. NYSE ARCA-traded SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) exchange-traded fund attracted daily retail inflows of $50 million on Aug. 5 — the highest single-day tally since mid-March for the largest US physical gold-backed ETF product. The day’s total inflow was $637 million, while the US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a combined inflow of $244.4 million.
“So far in August, investors have added +$1.4 billion to $GLD , putting the ETF on track for its first monthly inflow since February. Investor appetite for gold is back,” Kobeissi Letter said in a post on X.
GLD retail-investor netflows data. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X.com
Despite lackluster August $BTC price performance, the biggest crypto retained its positive correlation to gold on a 90-day rolling basis, data from onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant showed. “Bitcoin–gold correlation is back to digital-gold-era levels,” CEO Ki Young Ju wrote as an annotation to his data infographics on X.
Bitcoin-gold 90-day correlation data. Source: Ki Young Ju on X.com
Familiar $BTC price resistance in place as CPI nears
Within low time frames, $BTC/USD continued to be contained by a long-term trend line, the 50-month exponential moving average (EMA) at $65,827.
As Cointelegraph reported, this coincided with an area of potential short liquidations. Since the start of June, the pair has managed just three daily closes above the 50-month EMA.
$BTC/USD one-day chart with 50-month EMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
That’s leading market participants to maintain their monitoring of the zone below $66,000 as rangebound behavior continued.
“It’s still stuck in this range, meaning that this recent correction was most likely just a liquidity grab from leveraged longs being positioned in the markets. Consolidation here, and preferably a slight bounce upwards to $64,500 would trigger that we’re not continuing the cascade,” trader and analyst Michaël van de Poppe told X followers on Tuesday.
“If there’s a breakout above $65,800, the likelihood of running to $73,000 is there.”
$BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe on X.com
Wednesday sees the first of this week’s key risk-asset volatility catalysts in the form of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) print for July. Crypto markets have historically weakened into major US inflation data releases, while July’s soft print sparked daily gains of over 4%.
