Once unlocked, the tokens become available for business operations, liquidity arrangements, and potential institutional sales.
However, Ripple typically returns a substantial portion to new escrow contracts, meaning the full 1 billion $XRP does not automatically enter circulation or get sold. The market impact depends on how much is re-escrowed, retained or sold.
Ripple’s October unlock offers a recent example. The company released 1 billion $XRP across four transactions and subsequently re-escrowed 700 million, leaving 300 million outside escrow. September followed the same pattern, as did each monthly release from January through August 2026, according to $XRP Insights.
Across the 12 monthly releases from November 2025 through October 2026, Ripple unlocked 12 billion $XRP and re-escrowed 8.4 billion, leaving 3.6 billion outside escrow. The amounts can vary: Ripple returned 530 million $XRP in November 2024 and 800 million in December, leaving 470 million and 200 million, respectively, outside escrow.
The November 1 unlock could weigh on sentiment if traders anticipate additional supply. If Ripple repeats its recent pattern, around 300 million $XRP would remain outside escrow, although this would not necessarily mean the tokens are sold on the market.
$XRP price analysis
By press time, $XRP was trading at $1.40, down 5.61%. The decline followed a rally toward $1.52 earlier in the week before selling accelerated, pushing the cryptocurrency briefly toward $1.33 on October 9.
The latest price action leaves $XRP struggling to regain short-term momentum ahead of the next scheduled escrow release.
$XRP’s 50-day simple moving average (SMA) stood at $1.43, above its current price of $1.40. The cryptocurrency’s 200-day SMA was at $1.28, leaving the price above its longer-term average despite the recent correction.
The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) stood at 43.45, below the neutral midpoint of 50 but above the conventional oversold threshold of 30.
This suggests that selling pressure has weakened short-term momentum without pushing $XRP into oversold territory.
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