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Home»Bitcoin»Onchain Data Shows First Bottom Signal in Bitcoin! But Is the Bear Market Completely Over? Analyst Answers!
Bitcoin

Onchain Data Shows First Bottom Signal in Bitcoin! But Is the Bear Market Completely Over? Analyst Answers!

NBTCBy NBTC01/07/2026No Comments2 Mins Read
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As the leading cryptocurrency Bitcoin ($BTC) attempts to hold onto support around the $60,000 level, it continues to face a number of adverse factors, including large capital outflows from US spot ETFs, concerns about a potential Fed interest rate hike, a strong dollar, rising Treasury bond yields, and military conflicts in the Middle East.

Amid these negative developments, further declines for Bitcoin continue to be predicted, with $50,000 being the most frequently mentioned option.

At this point, the analytics firm QCP Capital predicts that Bitcoin could reach $55,000.

QCP Capital analysts noted increased demand in the options market for $BTC put options with a price range of $55,000 to $58,000 for the end of July.

Analysts also added that risk reversal indicators largely favored put options.

Finally, QCP Capital identified $58,000 and $1,500 as key support levels for Bitcoin and Ethereum, respectively.

The First Bottom Signal for Bitcoin Has Arrived!

Furthermore, CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV argues that the first bottoming signals are emerging in Bitcoin’s on-chain indicators.

According to the analyst, the first on-chain signal of a potential Bitcoin bottom has been observed. At this point, the analyst noted that the Bitcoin UTXO block profit/loss ratio has fallen to a level that historically coincides with market lows.

However, this doesn’t necessarily mean a bottom has been reached. According to the analyst, a stronger signal for a bottom in Bitcoin needs to emerge, and the 365-day moving average needs to show a much steeper decline. In other words, the current bear market may face further declines and market shocks before it completely ends.

“…The rate has fallen into a region that historically appears during bottom-forming phases. However, this doesn’t mean the bottom has been reached. Bitcoin may need to endure more pain before completely ending its bear market phase…”

*This is not investment advice.

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NBTC is the editorial account for NBTC News, covering Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi, blockchain infrastructure, exchanges, mining, regulation and digital asset markets. The editorial team focuses on clear sourcing, timely updates and practical context for crypto readers.

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