- Bitcoin reclaimed $71K as easing U.S.-Iran tensions revived risk appetite across markets.
- $BTC RSI rose to 37 from oversold levels, signaling recovery, though sentiment remains weak.
- Resistance sits at $74.4K-$78.2K, while $59.9K-$62.5K remains the key support zone.
Bitcoin reclaimed the $71K mark on Monday after a violent weekend swing, as traders rushed back into risk assets following a sudden geopolitical reprieve. According to reports, President Donald Trump said the United States would postpone strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure for five days, helping spark a relief rally across stocks and crypto. However, the rebound recovered only part of the recent damage.
Per CoinMarketCap’s data, the asset was still down 1.08% for the week, though it traded near $71,372, with a daily gain of 1.83%. Besides, its 24-hour volume rose 10% to $40.75 billion. That left the market with a narrower question: whether the bounce signaled demand or was merely a fast reset after heavy selling.
In practical terms, the market has bounced off stress but has not reclaimed the zones it broke earlier. That leaves the market between improving momentum and unfinished damage, a setup that often produces sharp moves in both directions before trend confirmation arrives.
What Is Driving Bitcoin Higher Today?
The first driver was macro relief, not an isolated crypto story. Per reports, global stocks rebounded while oil tumbled after Trump’s comments, even as Iranian media denied that negotiations were underway. That shift mattered, as Bitcoin traded like a high-beta macro asset during the conflict, rising when fears of immediate escalation eased.
The rebound also extended across the wider digital asset market. Total crypto market capitalization rose 1.61%, showing the move was not isolated to a single token. That broader recovery suggested the rally was driven by market-wide positioning and sentiment rather than a narrow fundamental development.
Leverage then magnified the move. According to CoinGlass data, short liquidations in $BTC reached $158.42 million over the covered 24-hour period, underscoring the speed of the rebound. That distinction matters as relief rallies can run hard without lasting long.
Source: CoinGlass
When headlines ease, shorts rush out first, while long-only capital usually arrives later and more selectively. The next durability test is simpler: whether spot demand follows the squeeze after the first wave of forced buying fades.
Bitcoin Technical Outlook: What the Chart Shows
Technically, the most important floor remains $62,525 to $59,930. That zone has already held through a 38% decline from the mid-January high and sits close to the 200-week moving average at $59,274. Its alignment with both price history and a long-term trend gauge makes it the main support band on the chart.
Any retest there would likely define whether the broader structure is stabilizing or weakening further. Overhead, the first resistance runs from $74,434 to $78,197, with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $75,587 inside that range. That area rejected last week’s rebound and was followed by an 11% pullback toward $67,354.
Source: TradingView
Meanwhile, a higher resistance zone is present between $93,632 and $97,939, near the 50% retracement and the 50-week average at $98,101. The upper boundary also marks this year’s peak, making it a major ceiling unless momentum improves sharply. The price is now boxed between defended support and overhead supply.
That makes the current zone more important than the daily gain itself, because rallies often stall when buyers meet clustered resistance. As long as the price stays trapped inside that corridor, the market remains tradable, but not structurally cleared.
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How Long Can the Rally Last?
For now, momentum signals show a recovery attempt, not a confirmed trend reversal. The daily RSI has climbed to about 37 from below 30 and is pointing higher, showing buying pressure has returned. But the indicator remains below 50, which keeps broader sentiment on the bearish side.
That combination supports a cautious reading: conditions are improving, but control has not fully shifted. On the other hand, the falling wedge adds a bullish technical element, as the pattern often marks exhaustion in a downswing. Still, confirmation matters more than pattern recognition.
A daily close above $72K or the wedge’s upper band would strengthen the case for a run into resistance, while a failure could reopen $67,435 and then the deeper support zone. A sustained push through that band would be the first stronger evidence that the bounce is becoming a broader recovery.
That is why the present recovery can be described as “constructive” but “conditional.” It has improved the chart, yet it has not invalidated the broader bearish framework. Until that happens, the rally reads as a relief move with improving internals, not yet a full trend reset.
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