Bitcoin’s supply overhang keeps recovery pressure elevated
Bitcoin market pressure increasingly shifted from panic-driven selling toward broader supply absorption once liquidation momentum started easing recently.
Buyers also stabilized short-term flows more effectively as aggressive sell-side pressure gradually weakened beneath current market conditions.
However, roughly 7.75 million $BTC remained below the holder cost basis near the broader $77,000 region across markets.
That figure also represented nearly 39% of circulating supply, reflecting heavy unrealized loss pressure beneath damaged market structure conditions.
Historical cycles later showed similar spikes during the 2018–2019 and 2022 downturn phases before longer recovery periods eventually emerged.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin still traded well below the broader $126,000 peak reached during late 2025, leaving trapped holders positioned overhead.
Still, prolonged stabilization could gradually shift weaker-hand supply toward stronger long-term accumulation beneath improving market confidence.
Bitcoin stabilization collides with trapped supply pressure
Bitcoin market pressure increasingly shifted from trapped supply management toward broader demand absorption once liquidation momentum started stabilizing recently.
Buyers also re-entered more selectively as volatility compressed beneath weakening downside momentum across broader market conditions.
However, Spot demand remained relatively fragile because CryptoQuant’s apparent demand metric recently approached negative 147,000 $BTC over thirty days.
Institutional participation also softened after ETF flows turned inconsistent during late May beneath cautious positioning behavior.
Meanwhile, millions of underwater coins continued creating heavy overhead resistance near the broader $77,000 region across markets. That structure increasingly reflected trapped holders waiting for stronger rebounds before reducing exposure and exiting breakeven positions.
Meanwhile, long-term holders gradually continued accumulating while exchange reserves declined toward multi-year lows, signaling deeper conviction beneath fragile stabilization conditions.
Final Summary
- Bitcoin continues stabilizing near the $76K region as weakening sell pressure gradually improves short-term market absorption conditions.
- $BTC still faces heavy overhead resistance from underwater supply, leaving recovery momentum vulnerable.
