Altcoin Daily has projected the timeline for Ethereum to reach $10,000, citing a second Fed rate cut and easing tariff tensions.
Ethereum (ETH) experienced notable price swings over the past week, marked by sharp dips and quick recoveries. On May 19, ETH briefly dropped to around $2,370 before rebounding strongly.
From May 20, the asset gained upward momentum, eventually closing in on $2,630, its highest point during the period. Despite this volatility, multiple market analysts continue to project a substantial long-term price increase for Ethereum.
Fed Policy and Trade Developments to Influence ETH
Amid this price condition, Altcoin Daily, a digital asset news and opinion platform, recently outlined macroeconomic factors they say could drive Ethereum’s price higher in late Q4 2025.
The group pointed to a potential second interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve and easing tariff tensions between the U.S. and China. They argued that these developments could boost Ethereum to reach $10,000 in Q4.
10K ETH by late Q4. After that second rate cut and tariff drama ends.
— Altcoin Daily (@AltcoinDailyio) May 22, 2025
Notably, when the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, borrowing becomes less expensive. This often prompts investors to move capital from low-yield, safer assets into higher-risk investments, including cryptocurrencies like Ethereum
This process can increase liquidity and stimulate demand, particularly among institutional investors and retail participants. Though the January FOMC meeting leaned hawkish, the broader crypto market remained stable at the time, suggesting resilience among risk assets.
Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump has reinstated tariff policies aimed at encouraging domestic consumption. While trade-related equities are directly impacted by these policies, Ethereum often responds to broader risk sentiment.
Recent developments show the U.S. and China have reached a partial trade truce, although tariffs on Chinese goods remain elevated at 30%. In previous instances, Ethereum has tended to participate in broader market upswings during such “risk-on” climates.
Echoes of Ethereum to $10,000
Interestingly, the $10,000 price target is echoed by several other analysts. In March, market analyst CryptoPatel noted that Ethereum’s previous rallies followed Bitcoin halving events in 2016 and 2020, with post-halving price increases of 228x and 27x, respectively.
#Ethereum Is Down Now, But History Says a $10K Rally Is Coming…
1⃣ $ETH rallied 228x post-2016 BTC halving
2⃣ ETH did 27x post-2020 halving
3⃣ Currently -57% from ATH post-2024 halving📅 Projection: Q4 2025 ATH
🔼 Target Range: $7,000 – $10,000Based on cyclical trend… pic.twitter.com/ME1W4X6IZU
— Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) March 30, 2025
Ethereum is currently down 57% from its all-time high, a pattern observed in earlier cycles. Based on this trend, CryptoPatel anticipates Ethereum could reach between $7,000 and $10,000 by late Q4 2025.
He referenced Fibonacci extensions and long-term trend alignments in his analysis. According to his model, the current market movement mirrors the 546-day accumulation phase that occurred after previous halvings. If this pattern holds, a significant price breakout could begin as early as Q3 2025.
Elsewhere, The Crypto Monk, a widely followed figure, also views this price level as a realistic target if current conditions persist. He pointed to Ethereum’s recent traction as a signal that the asset may be entering a new, more active phase in its market cycle.
