Bitcoin is poised for remarkable returns over the next decade, according to new analysis from André Dragosch, the European Head of Research at Bitwise.
This forecast, shared through a detailed chart, highlights Bitcoin’s potential to outperform all other major asset classes by a wide margin.
Despite Bitcoin’s recent price movements, which saw a 0.51% decline in the last 24 hours and a 3.34% drop over the past week, the cryptocurrency’s long-term prospects remain strong.
Traditional Assets Forecasted to Underperform
In contrast to Bitcoin’s promising outlook, traditional assets like gold and U.S. real estate are projected to see negative returns. For context, gold is expected to yield a -3.6% annual return over the next ten years. This forecast suggests a continued decline in its performance as an investment vehicle.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Case-Shiller Index, tracking residential real estate prices, is also projected to deliver a modest 1.9% return per year, pointing to a flat or declining trend in housing prices.
However, the S&P 500 index, representing the broader U.S. stock market, has a more moderately bullish outlook with a 3.3% annual return. This figure, while positive, falls far short of Bitcoin’s growth forecast. Also, U.S. Treasury bonds are expected to offer 4.5% annual returns.
Bitcoin Leads in Expected Returns
Interestingly, Bitcoin stands out with an expected return of 53.1% per year over the next decade. Unlike traditional assets, Bitcoin benefits from its relatively new position in the financial scene and its potential to disrupt existing systems.
Bitcoin Expected Returns | Bitwise
The growing interest in Bitcoin has been confirmed by several market analysts, who point to its strong fundamentals and expanding user base as key factors in its long-term success.
The analyst raises a critical question about the future of investment strategy, asking why anyone would choose traditional assets to build long-term wealth at this point.
Rising Adoption and Network Growth in the U.S.
Notably, survey data from the Nakamoto Project shows a shift in U.S. investment behavior, with 50 million Americans owning Bitcoin compared to 37 million holding gold. The U.S. leads globally in Bitcoin holdings, accounting for over 40% of the total supply.
Also, American firms dominate institutional Bitcoin ownership, making up nearly 95% of corporate holdings, while these firms fund 82% of Bitcoin development and attract 70% of venture capital. Since 2021, U.S. firms have mined over $42 billion in Bitcoin, investing $30 billion in domestic operations and creating thousands of jobs.
Surge in On-Chain Activity Signals Growing Interest
Also note that on May 29, 2025, Bitcoin saw the highest number of new wallet creations in six months, with over 550,000 added.
This surge in activity, combined with a rise in token circulation on June 2, 2025, reflects growing Bitcoin adoption and increasing market participation, despite a stable price near $105,000.
