Prediction markets offer users the opportunity to test their knowledge about real-world events spanning diverse topics like crypto, politics, pop culture, and sports.
On Myriad Markets, users can place predictions in these categories using USDC or points, collecting their share of profits if and when they predict correctly.
This week, some of the top markets on Myriad involve the next move for the surging XRP, whether Ethereum (ETH) is poised to spike to a new all-time high price, and whether the newly launched Pump.fun (PUMP) token will be airdropped to users this month.
(Disclaimer: Myriad Markets is a product of Decrypt parent company, DASTAN).
Pump.fun token (PUMP) airdrop by end of July?
Market Open: July 10
Market Close: July 31
Volume: $38.4K
One of the biggest on-chain events of the year took place last weekend when Solana token launchpad Pump.fun hosted an initial coin offering (ICO) for its PUMP token. The platform sold 15% of its total supply ($600 million worth) to eligible parties and enabled trading on Monday, which led to a quick burst to more than a $2 billion market cap for the PUMP token.
But details remain outstanding about exactly when the platform might airdrop the 24% of its supply it set aside for community and ecosystem initiatives. Myriad users asked to predict whether or not it would take place by the end of July have changed their mind during the week.
On July 13, odds got as high as 79% that “Yes,” the platform would airdrop its token before July 31 concluded. But just four days later, that number stands at 26.9%, a more than 50% decline as no further information has come from the platform.
Interestingly, a scenario in which tokens are airdropped to participants before the end of July but they are locked and not tradeable will result in the market resolving “no.”
What’s Next? Pump.fun users and PUMP token traders are eagerly awaiting the next announcement from the platform, which may indicate its plans for additional token distributions.
New Ethereum all-time high by end of 2025?
Market Open: July 17
Market Close: December 31
Volume: $1.99K
Bitcoin has stolen the show this year, including making new all time-highs above $120,000 earlier this week—but Ethereum has also been in the spotlight this week.
Now, a new market on Myriad asks users whether or not the momentum and recent weekly gain of 21% will spur the second-largest crypto asset (by market cap) to set a new all-time high by the end of 2025.
As of Thursday afternoon, predictors think ETH will hit a new all-time high, with odds standing at 53.7% despite the fact that it’s still trading nearly 30% below its all-time high of $4,891.
One analyst told Decrypt on Thursday that the asset’s current setup is the “strongest in years,” pointing to sentiment improvement and increased institutional interest, which is evidenced by major ETF inflows and accumulation from publicly traded firms like SharpLink Gaming and BitMine.
Former BitMex CEO Arthur Hayes previously predicted that the price of ETH could reach $4,000-$5,000 this year. Will he and Myriad predictors be right?
What’s Next? Predictors have time to monitor this market, as ETH sits nearly 30% off its all-time high with the market closing on December 31.
XRP’s next hit: Moon to $3.50 or dip to $2.00?
Market Open: July 15
Market Close: December 31
Volume: $7.64K
Ripple-linked asset XRP is the best-performing cryptocurrency this week among those in the top 10 by market capitalization, jumping 32% to $3.28.
Amid the surge, XRP reclaimed the $3.00 mark for the first time since January and is rapidly approaching its all-time high mark of $3.40 set more than 7 years ago.
Thanks to the boost, most predictors on Myriad think the token is more likely to rise to $3.50 next than fall back to $2.00, a 39% dive from its current price.
As of Thursday afternoon, 84.5% of predictions were on “moon” to at least $3.50, a 11% jump since the day prior and a 34% weekly rise.
Investment bank Standard Chartered is with predictors, calling the asset “uniquely positioned” and calling a target price of $5.50 by year end.
What’s Next? XRP needs to jump just over 7% to reach the “moon” prediction that the bulk of users have made.
