Prominent crypto analyst il Capo of Crypto has broken his recent silence on long-term market predictions, offering a sobering outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader financial system heading into late 2025 and 2026. Known for his short-term trading predictions, il Capo says the scale of what’s coming requires a broader perspective.
In a detailed message shared with his followers, the analyst noted that it was important to balance adaptability with strategic foresight. “If you are not mentally or strategically prepared, the scale of what could happen could really catch you off guard,” he warned.
Revisiting macroeconomic trends that began during the COVID-19 pandemic, il Capo viewed the Fed’s multitrillion-dollar stimulus as a temporary fix that postpones rather than prevents a larger crash. He sees it as an artificial rally driven by excess liquidity, ETFs, and stablecoin printing as markets, including BTC, reach new highs.
“Interest rates are now starting to fall,” he noted, adding: “Historically, that would indicate a recession.” He suggests the world is heading toward a full-scale economic reset akin to the Great Depression of 1929, with the potential for a dramatic shift toward a digital financial system, including widespread adoption of central bank digital currencies and the ISO 20022 infrastructure.
Il Capo predicts that this transformation could begin to occur between late 2025 and early 2026, echoing what some have called the Great Reset.
Although markets have recently recovered after a 90-day halt to tariffs, il Capo sees it as short-term relief. Citing billionaire investor Ray Dalio, he argues that tariffs are “a distraction from what really matters.”
il Capo listed his predictions about the market as follows:
Very Short Term (Next Few Days)
- BTC could rise to the $92,000-$98,000 range.
- Altcoins may see a 50%-100% recovery.
- The market is responding positively to the customs duty postponement.
Short Term (Next Few Weeks)
- Resistance can lead to capitulation.
- Possible triggers: new tariffs, escalation of conflict or health concerns.
- Flexibility and rapid response will be key.
Medium Term (until September 2025)
- The upward trend is expected to continue.
- There is potential for an altseason, but it is milder than 2021 or 2017.
- Overly bearish outlooks could miss out on strong accumulation opportunities.
- Black swan events can develop long-term value zones.
Long Term (end of 2025 to 2026)
- Signals indicate that a major downturn is imminent.
- BTC’s rally is seen as artificial and altcoins are lagging dangerously behind.
- September 2025 has been identified as a potential cyclical reversal, likened to the November 2021 peak.
- A true global crisis could unleash extreme volatility, testing BTC’s resilience like never before.
- “We have never seen Bitcoin behave like this during a real depression,” he warned, adding: “If that happens, expect the worst part of the cycle.”
Despite the gloomy weather, il Capo encourages his followers to remain vigilant but open to opportunities. The coming months could still offer favorable conditions for selective gains, especially as markets remain oversold across many sectors.
*This is not investment advice.
