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Home»Ethereum»‘Even 1% Chance Would Have Changed Everything’
Ethereum

‘Even 1% Chance Would Have Changed Everything’

NBTCBy NBTC07/05/2026No Comments3 Mins Read
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In a recent discussion on X, Ripple CTO Emeritus David Schwartz reflected on his early Ethereum exit. An X user had retold Schwartz’s story of selling his $ETH holdings for $1.05 each and that the Ripple CTO Emeritus wouldn’t have sold if he thought there was a 1% chance of $ETH hitting $2,368.

Schwartz famously sold a total of 40,000 $ETH when the second largest cryptocurrency was trading at just $1.05. The Ripple CTO Emeritus initially bought the 40,000 $ETH tokens at $0.311 and sold because he thought the token had reached its top. The proceeds were used to purchase a set of solar panels that he installed at his home in Oakland, California. Shortly after this, the $ETH price started rising.

In response to the X user, Schwartz responded that a 1% chance of his knowing the $ETH price would rise might have made a difference and he would not have sold it for $1.05. To him, the odds of $ETH reaching $2,368 weren’t just there.

If I had thought there was a 1% chance of it hitting $2,368, I would not have sold it for $1.05. I’m still not sure the odds of that happening really were more than 1% at the time. 😉

— David ‘JoelKatz’ Schwartz (@JoelKatz) May 4, 2026

“If I had thought there was a 1% chance of it hitting $2,368, I would not have sold it for $1.05. I’m still not sure the odds of that happening really were more than 1% at the time,” Schwartz said.

Schwartz stated that, to be entirely fair in his own view, at least a small part of his reasoning is that since $ETH had bounced between $0.70 and $1.00 a few times, he figured that he would sell when it next hit $1 and maybe buy back in when it dropped. Before he knew it, he sold at $1.05 and shortly afterwards, $ETH price rose to $12. Schwartz was confident that this was the top, so he never considered buying back in. Then Ethereum shot up to $2,000.

Ripple CTO emeritus discusses crypto holdings

Schwartz frequently shares information about his personal crypto holdings. In a recent response to X users who inquired about his holdings, the Ripple CTO Emeritus says he still holds Bitcoin and Ethereum, although not substantial amounts, but a significant quantity of $XRP.

Schwartz highlighted his $BTC, $ETH and $XRP holdings: “I once had 26 million $XRP. I once had more than 1,000 $BTC. I’m down to less than 1 now. I once had 40,000 $ETH. I think I’m down to less than 2 now,” he stated.

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NBTC is the editorial account for NBTC News, covering Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi, blockchain infrastructure, exchanges, mining, regulation and digital asset markets. The editorial team focuses on clear sourcing, timely updates and practical context for crypto readers.

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