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Home»Bitcoin»Why Overtrading Is Your Biggest Risk
Bitcoin

Why Overtrading Is Your Biggest Risk

NBTCBy NBTC20/08/2026No Comments4 Mins Read
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Bitcoin has spent weeks oscillating between roughly $60,000 support and $66,000-$67,000 resistance, frustrating both bullish and bearish traders. Even with all the macro news and ETF developments, the market has failed to establish a sustained trend.

However, this points to an important lesson: some of the biggest trading losses occur not during crashes or rallies, but when investors mistake noise for a new trend.

Why has Bitcoin Remained Trapped Between $60k and $67k?

Buyers keep showing up when Bitcoin dips toward the bottom of its range, and sellers cash out when it nears the top, keeping things in a kind of balance for now. Until one side clearly takes control, Bitcoin is likely to stay stuck in the $60k to $67k range, even if positive news keeps causing short-term volatility.

That’s a key takeaway from Michaël van de Poppe’s recent analysis.

He points out a clear trading range on his chart, with support around $60k and resistance between $66k and $67k. In his view, most of what we’ve seen lately is merely normal consolidation and not the beginning of a new trend.

Range-Bound Markets Can Be Harder than Bull Markets

A lot of retail traders think sideways markets are simple to trade, but they’re often the toughest. The reason is that they consistently produce misleading signals that trick traders into making the wrong move.

It usually works like this: Bitcoin goes up, traders think a breakout is coming, price reverses, sellers get aggressive, the price bounces back, and the whole thing repeats.

This creates what traders call whipsaw price action. Instead of rewarding strong directional conviction, range-bound markets tend to reward patience.

Many traders believe they always have to be in a position, but those with more experience know that sometimes the best move is to do nothing, as no trade can also be a trade.

In fact, studies show that higher trading frequency is generally associated with lower net investment returns, particularly among retail investors.

This is why range-bound markets are frustrating for both sides.

Bulls repeatedly enter positions on what looks like a breakout, only to see it fizzle out. On the other hand, bears short what seems like a breakdown, only to watch it bounce right back.

When trading volume builds up inside a specific price range, traders on both sides end up hitting their stop-losses over and over again.

Ironically, this constant flushing out of leveraged positions can make the eventual breakout stronger, clearing out the excess risk before the market makes its next big, lasting move.

What Would Confirm a Genuine Breakout?

A daily or weekly close above resistance, rising trading volume, price holding above the breakout level (e.g., comfortably staying above $67k for a few days), and strong on-chain and institutional participation would confirm a genuine breakout.

It would be a mistake to assume that any move above $67k signals the start of a new bull run. Professional traders usually look for a few key signals before making a move.

Naturally, the opposite scenario is also possible. If Bitcoin clearly falls below that $60k support zone, it would mean buyers aren’t stepping in to defend the bottom anymore.

Such a scenario would break the current range and raise the chances of a bigger drop. Again, you’d want to see confirmation, such as extended time below support, more selling pressure, and a failure to bounce back above $60k quickly.

Van de Poppe’s chart also highlights a higher area around $72k as a potential technical objective.

If Bitcoin manages to break through the $66k-$67k range, hold it as support, and keep the momentum going, then traders will look for the price to head toward the next big liquidity zone or gap on the chart.

Everything outside that is simply noise, and it’s important to note that this represents a plausible technical scenario rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Related: Crypto Market 2026: Why Bitcoin and Altcoins Are Still Struggling?

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NBTC

NBTC is the editorial account for NBTC News, covering Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi, blockchain infrastructure, exchanges, mining, regulation and digital asset markets. The editorial team focuses on clear sourcing, timely updates and practical context for crypto readers.

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