An analyst has argued that Bitcoin remains on track, regardless of current fluctuations, citing its cyclical patterns.
Today, Bitcoin’s price has experienced a notable uptick, rebounding since its dip over the weekend to surpass $69,000. This recent momentum coincides with discussions about Bitcoin’s cyclical nature and the growing attention on Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Taking to X, crypto trader “Coinvo” pointed out a pattern in Bitcoin’s price action across distinct four-year cycles. These cycles have historically led to significant parabolic growth, with each cycle marked by a bottom followed by rapid price escalation.
The 2014-2017 cycle saw Bitcoin bottom at $176, followed by a surge, while the 2018-2021 cycle began at a $3,185 bottom, leading to a similar outcome. In the 2022-2025 cycle, Bitcoin’s bottom is $15,758, and the uptrend has been in progress since Q4 2023.
The analyst’s chart suggests that if historical patterns continue, another parabolic rise could be forthcoming as the cycle progresses toward 2025. Ultimately, the analyst emphasizes that Bitcoin “is on track” and that investors need patience amid the current market conditions.
Bitcoin ETF Holdings Breaking Out Before BTC Price
Alongside Bitcoin’s cyclical movement, attention has shifted to Bitcoin ETFs, where holdings are reportedly reaching higher levels ahead of Bitcoin’s price. Specifically, a post on X by Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, indicated that ETF holdings have surpassed $60 billion. Notably, the surge in ETF demand is seen as an indicator of potential upward price momentum for Bitcoin.
ETF holdings are breaking out, before Bitcoin price pic.twitter.com/pSzAbm8Jpp
— Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) October 28, 2024
Further supporting this trend, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recently experienced their highest inflow in six months. As reported by The Crypto Basic last week, these ETFs have accumulated nearly 65,000 BTC, equivalent to $4.4 billion in new capital over the past month. Specifically, this level of investment hasn’t been seen since April, when Bitcoin’s price exceeded $72,000.
Earlier this year, the ETF market faced challenges, particularly in May, when Bitcoin’s value dipped below $56,000, leading to a decrease in holdings. However, the trend took a significant turn on September 18, spurred by a U.S. interest rate cut that reignited investor interest in crypto assets. Since then, ETF inflows have steadily increased, reversing the prior bearish sentiment.