Ethereum (ETH) has experienced its largest single-day rally since 2021, climbing 31% in just 24 hours. The surge follows the successful implementation of the Pectra upgrade, which has helped push ETH closer to a crucial resistance level of $2,500.
However, despite the impressive gains, the challenge lies in whether Ethereum can breach this level sustainably, as investor behavior may hinder further price movement.
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade Goes Live
The Pectra upgrade has significantly impacted the market sentiment surrounding Ethereum, with exchanges recording net inflows of $15.6 billion since its launch. On May 8 alone, $12 billion worth of ETH was sold, marking the highest single-day sale in over five months.
This suggests that investors are keen to secure profits after the price spike, potentially dampening the prospects of ETH continuing its upward movement. This profit-taking behavior could limit ETH’s upward momentum.
Ethereum Exchange Net Position Change. Source: Glassnode
Ethereum’s macro momentum shows both strength and potential headwinds. The IOMAP (In/Out of the Money Around Price) analysis reveals that 11.56 million ETH were bought in the range between $2,493 and $2,915. This range is crucial as ETH must breach $2,500 to continue its upward trend and lock in recent gains.
However, there is significant selling pressure at this range, where $27.8 billion worth of ETH is sitting. This could cap Ethereum’s ability to maintain sustainable growth, as the risk of large-scale sell-offs at higher prices looms large.
Ethereum IOMAP. Source: IntoTheBlock
ETH Price Hits 2-Month High
Ethereum’s price is currently trading at $2,366, up 31% in the last 24 hours following the Pectra upgrade. This price increase has brought ETH to a 2-month high and closer to the $2,513 resistance level. Breaking this barrier would mark a key milestone for Ethereum, but the challenge remains whether it can sustain this movement in the face of investor selling.
The difficulty in crossing $2,500 lies in ongoing selling pressure from investors who have already capitalized on recent gains and from those who could sell should the price continue rising. Thus, Ethereum could struggle to maintain its upward trajectory, possibly falling back below the support of $2,344. In this scenario, ETH could test the $2,141 level, potentially erasing some of the recent gains.
Ethereum Price Analysis. Source: TradingView
However, if the broader market remains bullish and ETH follows Bitcoin’s rise beyond $103,000, Ethereum could break through $2,513 and secure it as a support floor. This would create the opportunity for further upward movement toward $2,654, and invalidate the current bearish outlook, signaling that Ethereum could continue its recovery toward new price highs.
