Bitcoin has spent the majority of the week trading within a tight consolidation range. But unlike previous consolidations, this one carries a bullish undertone. With price action holding above major support levels and forming potential structural shifts, traders are on alert for a breakout move.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent price action has been marked by low volatility and declining volume, but this may not be a sign of weakness. Instead, the technical structure and support dynamics suggest that the market is coiling before its next move. Price remains above critical support zones, and volume behavior is characteristic of accumulation, potentially setting the stage for a breakout.
Key technical points
- Point of Control Support: Bitcoin is holding above the POC, which aligns with both the bullish channel low and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
- Rounded Bottom Formation: Price structure on the 4-hour chart is morphing into a rounded bottom pattern, often a precursor to upward momentum.
- Volume Decline Indicates Accumulation: Volume has been declining as price compresses above support — a common signal of accumulation before expansion.
BTCUSDT (4H) Chart, Source: TradingView
Bitcoin has been consolidating within a narrow range, but the location of this range is what makes it significant. Instead of compressing beneath resistance or within a neutral zone, price is resting on a technically strong support cluster. The Point Of Control, the price level with the highest traded volume, coincides with the channel low support and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, creating a robust zone that has held through multiple retests.
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On the 4-hour timeframe, candles have been consistently closing above this level, signaling that buyers are defending the zone. The price structure is gradually forming what appears to be a rounded bottom, suggesting a possible reversal pattern and strength building at support.
Volume has been tapering off during this period, a common feature in accumulation phases. Typically, such low-volume compressions resolve in sharp, directional breakouts once volume re-enters the market. In Bitcoin’s case, a reclaim of the value area high will be the first signal of strength. This level has acted as a ceiling in recent weeks and marks the upper boundary of the current volume profile.
What to expect in the coming price action
If Bitcoin continues to hold above the POC and confirms a breakout with volume, a push toward a new all-time high is likely. Until then, traders should monitor volume closely, a spike could signal the end of this accumulation phase and the beginning of a major move.
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