As 2024 comes to a close, everyone’s filled with anticipation for what 2025 has in store, along with all the thrilling events on the horizon. This excitement has sparked a flurry of speculative betting on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, where prediction markets are all the rage. Here’s the lowdown on these crypto-infused betting scenes and the bets they’re hosting.
2025’s Betting Bonanza
2025 is gearing up to be quite the adventure, and with Donald Trump potentially at the helm, it’s sure to be pretty lit, whether the vibes are high or low. Alongside this, there’s a whole slew of non-political predictions for 2025 that folks are eager to bet on. From guessing next year’s inflation rates to speculating on the U.S. Federal Reserve’s next moves, to betting on who’ll take home the Super Bowl trophy, and even forecasting how high the leading crypto asset, bitcoin (BTC), will soar.
Over at Kalshi, there’s a bet on what the inflation rate will look like in 2025, with 30% of the bettors banking on it being between 2.6% to 3%, while 18% are envisioning a range of 2.1% to 2.5%, and 15% are predicting it’ll be from 3.1% to 3.5%. Meanwhile, a whopping 73% of Kalshi’s betting crowd thinks Taylor Swift will reign supreme as Spotify’s top artist in 2025, with 23% putting their money on the Weeknd. Another Kalshi bet suggests there’s a 32% chance the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut rates twice next year, with a 23% chance for three cuts, and a steady 20% for just one.
Intriguingly, there aren’t as many bitcoin bets on Kalshi, with most of the excitement revolving around prediction markets tied to the day’s closing price at a specific moment. However, Kalshi bettors do see a 24% chance that Texas might pass a strategic bitcoin reserve law by 2026. They’re also quite confident, with a 71% chance, that current House Speaker Mike Johnson will keep his seat if Trump returns to the White House.
On Polymarket, the betting scene is heavily crypto-focused. Bettors there give ethereum (ETH) zero chance of hitting an all-time high in 2024, and that’s pretty much set in stone unless something miraculous occurs. Polymarket bettors believe there’s a 20% chance the Kansas City Chiefs will clinch the Super Bowl in 2025, while 16% are rooting for the Detroit Lions. According to one Polymarket bet, there’s only a 1% chance Microstrategy will amass over 500,000 BTC this year.
On the flip side, another wager suggests a 35% chance Microstrategy will reach that 500,000 BTC before Donald Trump’s inauguration. There’s also a 20% chance, as per a Polymarket bet, that a dogecoin (DOGE) exchange-traded fund (ETF) will get the green light by July 31, 2025. Lastly, Polymarket bettors think there’s a 31% chance the U.S. might ban the social media giant Tiktok.
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use Circle’s usd coin (USDC) for transactions on their platforms. That’s just a small glimpse when it comes to 2025 predictions on Kalshi and Polymarket. Looking ahead, the frenzied mix of changing economic factors and colorful political possibilities and opportunities suggests a dynamic year brimming with surprises. People seem to delight in placing wagers on everything from leadership shakeups to playful cultural phenomena, revealing a collective curiosity that transcends ordinary speculation. The stage is set for unorthodox outcomes, prompting watchers to stay on their toes.
